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Niles Eldredge: Paleontology and Evolutionary Theory

 

By Ebbe Sloth Andersen

 

Niles Eldredge is a paleontologist who for more than 30 years has worked at the prestigious American Museum of Natural History in New York. Back in the days when Eldredge joined the Museum, paleontology must have been a somewhat dusty discipline that served to classify fossils and to provide evidence for evolutionary biology. But in the early 1970s Eldredge and his colleague Stephen Jay Gould (who died in May 2002) contributed to give paleontology a much more important role. To be more specific, it may be argued that their common work marks the moment of the change of paleontology from a passive role of interpreting the fossil data in the light of evolutionary theory to an active role in the further refinement of this theory.

 

Missing links

The path-breaking contribution by Eldredge and Gould was to explain that the much-discussed "missing links" in the fossil record is partly due to the process of evolution itself. They made the hypothesis that a new species gets its major characteristics so quickly that it is unlikely that we shall ever find a fine-graded series of fossil specimens that demonstrates the transformation from its ancestor. On the other hand, when the species has got its major characteristics, it will normally show practically no further evolution (stasis).

This process of "punctuated equilibrium" seemed to show up in Eldredge's study of the evolution of a new species of trilobites that took place more than 350 million years ago, and his unique data seemed to be explainable by the emergence of new species in small populations at the fringe of old species (suggested by the grand evolutionist Ernest Mayr). Gould put this idea into a clear and provoking form, and punctuated equilibrium has been on the scientific agenda ever since.

Facts and theories

The Eldredge-Gould hypothesis raised two questions. The first is whether the fossil record actually shows a pattern of punctuations that disrupt long periods of evolutionary stasis. To answer this question paleontologists have had to collect new fossils and, even more important, to develop precise empirical methods. These efforts have themselves improved the level of scientific work in the area. The answer to the question has been more mixed, but although the debate has not ended it is fair to say that the Eldredge-Gould hypothesis explains quite many, but by far all, of the results.

The second question is whether their hypothesis calls for a revision of standard evolutionary theory. This question has been emphasised in much subsequent work by Eldredge and Gould (both collectively and individually). For both the answer is a clear yes. For them the standard neo-Darwinian evolutionary theory seem to have hardened into an "ultra-Darwinism" that overemphasises gene-level natural selection (like Richard Dawkins's Selfish Gene). Instead they think that evolutionary theory should include explicitly a whole hierarchy of selection-relevant entities from organisms to species and higher taxonomic levels; it should also include a hierarchy of ecological niches. It is within these complex systems and multiple levels of selection that they suggest that evolution occurs by punctuated equilibrium. It is only within such a complicated framework that Eldredge and Gould think that the surprising patterns in the evolutionary history becomes fully explainable.

The Great Controversy

The call for a revision of neo-Darwinism has created a good deal of controversy, which has also been remarked by the public. Parts of the controversy seem to have its background in misunderstandings due to different modes of thinking. The paleontologists have not been able to put their arguments in genetic terms and the evolutionary theorists could not easily interpret sketchy ideas like punctuated equilibrium. At the end some degree of mutual understanding has, however, emerged. It is e.g. obvious that gradual natural selection allows changes that are very quick on a paleontological time scale. Thus it is obvious that the Eldredge-Gould patterns are compatible with natural selection.

In this and other ways the rebellious paleontologists have joined the "High Table" of evolutionary theorising (to use an expression by Eldredge), and they seem to have been given a rather fair treatment in the major textbooks on evolutionary biology (e.g. Futuyma, Ridley). It is, however, still discussed whether the pattern of punctuated equilibrium has now been largely accounted for by neo-Darwinian theory (the viewpoint of Dawkins, Maynard Smith and Wilson) or whether there is still a lot that needs to be done (the viewpoint of Eldredge). A good deal of Eldredge's work has consisted in developing and promoting his view, but in the end the answer has to be given with reference to empirical evidence. It is, for instance, an empirical question whether a mature species is characterised by a genome that is flexible to react to environmental pressures (the neo-Darwinian viewpoint) or whether such a species is characterised by interacting genes that prevents such reactions (and explains stasis).

In the meantime the task is to keep the theoretical debate open, both for its own sake and in order to understand present-day issues like the crisis of biodiversity. One strategy for upholding the debate is to enter into the history of evolutionary ideas. This strategy is to some extent followed by Eldredge, but the history of ideas was the speciality and favourite area for his friend Gould, who before he died succeeded in finalising a huge volume on the history and "Structure of Evolutionary Theory". Another strategy is closer to the heart of Eldredge. It is to give accounts of the history of the evolution of species (e.g. in "The Pattern of Evolution").

These accounts allows Eldredge once more to explain his doubts about the standard evolutionary theory of e.g. Dawkins. Thus he can provide evidence that morphological evolution does not occur all the time and that species appear to be quite stable and often last for millions of years. Their extinction is due to environmental events that wipe out not only species but whole ecosystems.  Evolution is due to the survivors of extinction, which radiate to fill the open niches. This is, of course, neo-Darwinian evolution, but it does not have the gradualistic character, which Eldredge think is taught by the "ultra-Darwinists". For empirically oriented European researchers it is, however, still not clear how far Eldredge and Gould go beyond the neo-Darwinists or even beyond Darwin.

Monkey business

The debate among evolutionary theorists has received much attention from outsiders. Many philosophers and social scientists have, for instance, been very interested in the explanations of patterns of punctuated equilibrium, and Eldredge has contributed to their debates. But there has also been interest from a more troublesome side: religious fundamentalists. This group has been especially active in the United States, where it has promoted "creation science" and other kinds of would-be alternatives to the school-level teaching of evolutionary theory. The practitioners of such "sciences" have a strange method: they know the answer (God created all species or at least humans) before they start to study the question (how have species emerged?).

For reasons that probably belong to both politics and social psychology this nonsense is still quite widespread, and Eldredge has had to spend quite much time in his fight against it. Previously he published the book on "Monkey Business" and recently he wrote "The Triumph of Evolution and the Failure of Creationism". His special interest in this topic is probably due to the fact that creationists in their never-ending search for new arguments have put some emphasis on punctuated equilibrium. This is partly due to the search for areas where "missing links" seem to persist (and thus to give room for divine intervention), which started immediately after Darwin's "Origin of Species". But the creationists also try to find scientific controversies that demonstrate that evolution is "just a theory". Thus Eldredge not only needs to explain the fossil record and the driving forces of evolution. He also has to explain that disagreement is a way of promoting understanding among real scientists and that basic evolutionary theory is one of the most solid cornerstones of modern science.

Where to go

It is obvious that Eldredge is a pioneer whose work has done much to promote paleontology, evolutionary theory and the public understanding of science. Much will probably follow, and one may ask about the direction of his work. There are few signs that the molecular evidence will become more integrated into the work of Eldredge. This is a pity, at least from the viewpoint of a molecular biologist. The molecular evidence of evolution is an extremely rich and daily expanding source to promote arguments against creationists and for particular refinements of evolutionary theory. Its relevance seems to be increasingly acknowledged in paleontology and it may help to clarify many issues. But evolutionary ecology is also an important area of research, and Eldredge is moving in its direction. In this way he can both explore his complicated framework and confront the issues of biodiversity and extinctions.

Some books by Niles Eldredge:

Fossils, Princeton University Press.

Reinventing Darwin, Wiley.

The Pattern of Evolution, Freeman.

The Triumph of Evolution and the Failure of Creationism, Freeman.

Life in the Balance, Princeton University Press.

Unfinished Synthesis, Oxford University Press.